Win886788
0x8be38b3b7d26075106b6a10eb89ca069f5ee51da
- Realised P&L
- $-304.32
- Volume
- $68.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $24.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.865 | $24.22 | +$5.74 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $0.45 | −$0.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.18 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-18.00at 0.130Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
- +$-24.00at 0.260Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
- +$-50.27at 0.039Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-114.29at 0.104Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $18.48 |
| 10-01 00:30 | Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 10-01 00:22 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $20.48 |
| 09-12 02:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $12.18 |
| 09-12 02:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $4.17 |
| 07-27 00:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.58 |
| 07-27 00:21 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $128.00 |
| 02-05 22:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 02-05 22:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | SELL | 0.06 | $7.20 |
| 02-05 04:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.10 |
| 02-02 23:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 02-02 23:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | BUY | 0.26 | $31.20 |
| 02-02 05:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February? | BUY | 0.001 | $62.00 |