rar111
0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b
- Realised P&L
- $57.77
- Volume
- $63.5k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $110.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.09at 0.065Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$52.04at 0.125Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$42.82at 0.181Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.90at 0.450Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
- +$31.11at 0.007Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 22:32 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $76.08 |
| 07-28 15:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 13:34 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 07-24 13:31 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.326 | $6.77 |
| 07-11 03:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.212 | $292.82 |
| 07-10 20:12 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1549999986 | $90.00 |
| 07-07 11:00 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1449999981 | $60.00 |
| 07-07 10:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1809999995 | $250.00 |
| 07-07 10:57 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-07 10:56 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $149.00 |
| 07-07 10:56 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0279999733 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 06:11 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 06-18 18:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June? | SELL | 0.031104 | $3.11 |