rar111
0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b
- Realised P&L
- $246.33
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $853.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.09at 0.065Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$52.04at 0.125Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$46.67at 0.823Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$44.69at 0.889Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$42.82at 0.156Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:17 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September? | BUY | 0.974 | $29.22 |
| 09-21 17:15 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 09-21 17:14 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 17:34 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 09-18 14:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.91 |
| 09-18 14:34 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $72.00 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.37% in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $163.76 |
| 09-18 13:51 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-18 13:51 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-17 21:09 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 17:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.04 |
| 09-17 17:36 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $67.97 |
| 09-17 11:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $56.95 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-17 10:00 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.27% in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $160.74 |