charlatta
0xb7b8e9681f5c863dfbd3ac7ec66bac69fa0edb31
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $3.26M
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $90.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.847Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$7.0kat 0.008Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$5.5kat 0.473Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.4kat 0.830Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.2kat 0.001Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.96 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 14:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 14:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.96 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 14:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.984 | $2.7k |
| 10-27 16:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.927 | $1.2k |
| 10-27 11:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.7k |
| 10-27 09:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | SELL | 0.9951852138 | $3.1k |
| 10-20 14:17 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8520977188 | $2.7k |
| 10-17 09:23 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $179.00 |
| 09-30 18:14 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-30 11:46 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $214.05 |
| 09-30 08:58 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.1k |
| 09-30 07:39 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 09-29 11:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8216614666 | $1.3k |
| 09-28 10:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.3621266048 | $190.00 |