PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614

0x29412927729808cac3d26c2525c98aa9fde8dad2

Realised P&L
$-155.09
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$68.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.205$20.50+$0.50
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.205$17.26$2.74
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.3470.170$12.24$12.76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1530.125$8.16$1.84
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2850.095$6.67$13.33
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0310.021$2.71$1.29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1640.032$0.96$4.04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$7.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$10.00
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$22.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? · Yes0.5540.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.3100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 16:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.25$21.00
07-26 16:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1531980084$10.00
07-26 14:43Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0310000003$4.00
07-26 14:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
07-26 14:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
07-20 19:11Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2374885504$20.00
07-20 19:08Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0229999926$3.00
06-12 09:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-12 09:19Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999871$10.00
04-24 00:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?SELL0.49$18.29
04-24 00:18Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?SELL0.521$14.36
04-23 18:01Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0919999918$10.00
04-23 16:24Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.259999995$27.00
04-23 16:24Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0599999923$7.00
04-22 13:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?BUY0.5539289309$20.00