0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614
0x29412927729808cac3d26c2525c98aa9fde8dad2
- Realised P&L
- $-155.09
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $68.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.60at 0.099Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
- +$57.99at 0.369US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$54.40at 0.164US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.48at 0.115Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 16:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $21.00 |
| 07-26 16:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1531980084 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 14:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0310000003 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 14:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 14:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 19:11 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2374885504 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 19:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0229999926 | $3.00 |
| 06-12 09:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 09:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-24 00:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | SELL | 0.49 | $18.29 |
| 04-24 00:18 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | SELL | 0.521 | $14.36 |
| 04-23 18:01 | Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0919999918 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 16:24 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.259999995 | $27.00 |
| 04-23 16:24 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999923 | $7.00 |
| 04-22 13:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5539289309 | $20.00 |