PolyBot

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Traders

xiaxiaoqiang2026

0x46bf2b14ce650d29cb4fde37836c07e15ca09537

Realised P&L
$-642.69
Volume
$45.3k
Markets traded
486
Open portfolio
$115.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded486
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0540.019$115.10−$207.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down0.4360.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.4470.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.4570.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down0.4690.000$0.00−$70.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.5280.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up0.4450.000$0.00−$75.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.5080.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.0370.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.06$15.00
10-29 17:35New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?SELL0.021$0.11
10-28 19:192026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.07$5.83
10-28 19:17New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0300952687$64.57
10-22 16:412026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.0899999998$30.00
10-22 16:39Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.12$3.53
10-22 16:39Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.06$4.29
10-22 16:38Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?SELL0.007$0.96
10-22 16:38Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.61$2.30
10-22 16:38Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?SELL0.082$1.53
10-22 16:38Iran leadership change by November 30?SELL0.08$2.00
10-22 16:38Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.15$1.80
10-22 16:38Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.025$1.74
10-22 16:38Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?SELL0.055$0.97
10-22 16:37Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.00