xiaxiaoqiang2026
0x46bf2b14ce650d29cb4fde37836c07e15ca09537
- Realised P&L
- $-509.79
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $195.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.87at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$96.44at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$94.33at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$72.61at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$68.72at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 12:48 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 12:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 12:17 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $23.94 |
| 09-11 12:00 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0573564239 | $54.93 |
| 08-17 11:20 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0497201988 | $7.00 |
| 08-17 11:18 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0427813885 | $5.79 |
| 08-17 11:17 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 08-16 16:56 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.062999972 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 16:55 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.062999972 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 16:54 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0594157909 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 16:51 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.046658368 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 16:50 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0390475801 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 16:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.00 |