xiaxiaoqiang2026
0x46bf2b14ce650d29cb4fde37836c07e15ca09537
- Realised P&L
- $-642.69
- Volume
- $45.3k
- Markets traded
- 486
- Open portfolio
- $115.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded486
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.74at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$62.90at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$50.84at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$40.11at 0.045Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$34.95at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 17:35 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-28 19:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.07 | $5.83 |
| 10-28 19:17 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0300952687 | $64.57 |
| 10-22 16:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-22 16:39 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.53 |
| 10-22 16:39 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.29 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.96 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.30 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.53 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.80 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.74 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.97 |
| 10-22 16:37 | Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |