PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51BeD2f9b4C83C12f8a131Af66D7bD4373f12dF3-1761226031034

0x51bed2f9b4c83c12f8a131af66d7bd4373f12df3

Realised P&L
$726.32
Volume
$30.6k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$853.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.8360.868$415.31+$15.31
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? · No0.9300.955$334.24+$8.75
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.7040.732$103.91+$3.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.23$14.98
10-16 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.16$10.42
10-16 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-16 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-16 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.06$0.38
10-16 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
10-16 13:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-16 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.4291306448$35.54
10-16 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.3$1.50
10-16 13:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.1799999986$10.00
10-16 13:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.3098613371$10.00
10-16 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
10-16 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.72$26.66
10-16 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.269999993$10.00
10-16 12:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.01$1.11