PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

badatthis

0x75acf1aa88a3f5c613f2214486b91fa9fc1f33d7

Realised P&L
$81.5k
Volume
$16.05M
Markets traded
5,111
Open portfolio
$683.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,111
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.5200.515$82.40$0.80
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.1300.120$72.00$6.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.0330.036$72.00+$6.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.125$67.13+$2.69
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? · Yes0.0410.055$59.81+$15.67
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? · Yes0.1500.145$58.44$1.98
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0250.018$50.34$18.97
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Yes0.0350.030$45.75$6.75
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · Yes0.0500.045$45.00$5.00
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.1500.135$42.91$4.77
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$36.25+$1.58
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.0910.045$21.49$21.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0110.006$10.82$9.02
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.003$7.50$4.50
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1100.135$2.97+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:11Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.001$0.01
09-17 06:11Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.034$1.70
09-17 00:35Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.01$0.30
09-17 00:33Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.01$0.24
09-16 23:50Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.999$30.94
09-16 21:37Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.56$2.49
09-16 21:37Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.4789958735$6.96
09-16 21:36Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.91$8.84
09-16 18:42Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?SELL0.12$18.05
09-16 18:31Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?SELL0.43$12.13
09-16 18:31Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?SELL0.31$7.75
09-16 18:29Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?SELL0.25$12.50
09-16 18:20Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during September Press Conference?SELL0.118321727$1.70
09-16 18:17Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?SELL0.25$12.50
09-16 18:16Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?SELL0.56$25.20