badatthis
0x75acf1aa88a3f5c613f2214486b91fa9fc1f33d7
- Realised P&L
- $81.5k
- Volume
- $16.05M
- Markets traded
- 5,111
- Open portfolio
- $683.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,111
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.260Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$4.4kat 0.907Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
- +$4.3kat 0.021Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$2.9kat 0.002Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
- +$1.8kat 0.883No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:11 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 00:35 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 00:33 | Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.24 |
| 09-16 23:50 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.94 |
| 09-16 21:37 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.49 |
| 09-16 21:37 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.4789958735 | $6.96 |
| 09-16 21:36 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.91 | $8.84 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.12 | $18.05 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.13 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.31 | $7.75 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 18:20 | Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.118321727 | $1.70 |
| 09-16 18:17 | Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 18:16 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | SELL | 0.56 | $25.20 |