PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

badatthis

0x75acf1aa88a3f5c613f2214486b91fa9fc1f33d7

Realised P&L
$82.3k
Volume
$16.97M
Markets traded
5,621
Open portfolio
$575.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,621
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7800.645$193.50−$40.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0410.041$121.50−$1.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.2800.275$82.50−$1.50
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? · Yes0.1400.120$36.00−$6.00
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.014$35.00−$7.50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4200.345$34.50−$7.50
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? · No0.3300.275$33.00−$6.60
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$19.22−$25.14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0120.003$6.44−$19.64
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? · Yes0.0800.055$5.35−$2.43
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · Yes0.0600.057$2.85−$0.15
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.0700.105$2.21+$0.74
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1100.100$2.20−$0.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? · No0.3200.330$1.01+$0.03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:18Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.003$0.11
10-31 15:17US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.003$0.36
10-31 01:11Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?SELL0.002$0.23
10-31 00:52Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?SELL0.999$15.36
10-31 00:52Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?SELL0.001$0.01
10-30 17:35Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?SELL0.81$7.50
10-30 11:17Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.0029998855$0.79
10-29 23:56Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?BUY0.4$20.00
10-29 23:51Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?SELL0.001$0.05
10-29 20:28Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?SELL0.99$7.28
10-29 17:51Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.741$37.05
10-29 17:44Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?SELL0.16$0.60
10-29 01:32Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.001$0.05
10-29 01:01Will Trump say "Climate Change" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.001$0.08
10-29 01:00Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.001$0.13