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Traders

hspje89

0xb44bf19d4417dbf26199ad3f68ec8a2f0ef43fdb

Realised P&L
$163.67
Volume
$47.6k
Markets traded
851
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded851
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.2120.815$84.43+$62.43
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? · No0.9800.980$83.96$0.04
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.3390.875$54.27+$33.27
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9690.960$39.60$0.40
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · No0.9560.965$24.21+$0.21
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? · No0.9500.982$21.70+$0.70
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5950.860$21.68+$6.68
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.9700.983$21.27+$0.27
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8540.870$17.32+$0.32
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.947$16.45+$0.45
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9771.000$15.35+$0.35
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.9340.840$15.29$1.71
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.945$14.45+$1.45
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · No0.8390.930$14.40+$1.40
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? · No0.9850.998$14.18+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:19Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?BUY0.95$2.00
09-17 15:16Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.1$1.00
09-17 13:49Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.9679999942$4.00
09-17 13:48Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-17 13:45Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999208$3.00
09-17 13:43Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-17 13:39Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
09-12 16:440 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
09-12 16:440 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?BUY0.96$3.00
09-12 16:37Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?BUY0.8799997184$1.00
09-12 16:34Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9889999989$9.00
09-12 16:34Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-10 16:33Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.987999999$8.00
09-10 16:32Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.9699999991$21.00
09-10 16:32Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.9689999944$4.00
Trader hspje89 · PolyBot Pro