hspje89
0xb44bf19d4417dbf26199ad3f68ec8a2f0ef43fdb
- Realised P&L
- $5.33
- Volume
- $49.1k
- Markets traded
- 941
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded941
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.55at 0.359Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
- +$28.07at 0.588Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$20.88at 0.545Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
- +$13.80at 0.479Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.36at 0.607US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:52 | Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.8699999949 | $11.89 |
| 11-01 11:43 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:39 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:36 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:36 | Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 11:36 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:34 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:33 | Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:31 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 11:31 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? | BUY | 0.0596854576 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 11:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 11:20 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |