hspje89
0xb44bf19d4417dbf26199ad3f68ec8a2f0ef43fdb
- Realised P&L
- $163.67
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 851
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded851
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.55at 0.359Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
- +$28.07at 0.588Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
- +$20.88at 0.545Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
- +$10.36at 0.607US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$9.73at 0.822Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:19 | Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:49 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679999942 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 13:48 | Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:45 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 13:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 16:44 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:44 | 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 16:37 | Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 16:34 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999989 | $9.00 |
| 09-12 16:34 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 16:33 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 16:32 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699999991 | $21.00 |
| 09-10 16:32 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9689999944 | $4.00 |