0x2dE207686a6714876327Bc72F89f99714dADf1A0-1759788887980
0x2de207686a6714876327bc72f89f99714dadf1a0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.44
- Volume
- $999.21
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $198.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.950Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
- +$10.99at 0.247Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
- +$7.43at 0.350Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$6.53at 0.854Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$4.75at 0.900Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 10:27 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 10:26 | 1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 10:24 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 10:23 | Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $16.78 |
| 10-14 09:08 | Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.00 |
| 10-01 07:19 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 10:11 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 08:44 | Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.13 |
| 09-25 10:03 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 23:35 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999958 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 23:15 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9509999194 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 23:08 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:10 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9489999966 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 08:50 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9399999958 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 08:45 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9579999999 | $15.00 |