PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2dE207686a6714876327Bc72F89f99714dADf1A0-1759788887980

0x2de207686a6714876327bc72f89f99714dadf1a0

Realised P&L
$-16.44
Volume
$999.21
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$198.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8000.972$60.74+$10.74
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.8660.880$32.53+$0.53
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · No0.8560.735$25.75−$4.25
Elon Bull Run Combo · No0.9680.978$25.24+$0.24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9580.967$15.13+$0.13
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8900.942$9.53+$0.53
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? · No0.9600.913$8.56−$0.44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? · No0.9490.947$7.98−$0.02
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · No0.9810.999$5.09+$0.09
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7500.740$4.93−$0.07
1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? · No0.6400.615$2.88−$0.12
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$1.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$6.00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.5950.000$0.00−$61.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 10:27Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?BUY0.75$5.00
10-26 10:261 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?BUY0.64$3.00
10-26 10:24Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-26 10:23Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.984$16.78
10-14 09:08Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?BUY0.96$9.00
10-01 07:19Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-27 10:11Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999007$5.00
09-27 08:44Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.99$5.13
09-25 10:03Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.85$4.00
09-21 23:35Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.8399999958$8.00
09-19 23:15Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9509999194$5.00
09-19 23:08Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.899999928$5.00
09-17 09:10Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.9489999966$8.00
09-17 08:50Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.9399999958$9.00
09-17 08:45OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.9579999999$15.00