0x2dE207686a6714876327Bc72F89f99714dADf1A0-1759788887980
0x2de207686a6714876327bc72f89f99714dadf1a0
- Realised P&L
- $-9.52
- Volume
- $864.17
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $157.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.950Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
- +$10.99at 0.247Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
- +$7.43at 0.350Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$6.53at 0.854Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$4.75at 0.900Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:04 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999902 | $15.00 |
| 09-11 10:49 | Elon Bull Run Combo | BUY | 0.9649999942 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:49 | Elon Bull Run Combo | BUY | 0.9649999976 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 08:06 | Elon Bull Run Combo | BUY | 0.9730269155 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 16:05 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 15:57 | Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1139999097 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 15:37 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:33 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 14:26 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999387 | $9.00 |
| 09-06 14:14 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.99 |
| 09-05 10:30 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 13:35 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 10:13 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.888 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 21:13 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | SELL | 0.921 | $3.47 |
| 08-17 08:30 | Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999982 | $5.00 |