PolyBot

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Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.35 over the period, from 0.40. Range 0.04 to 0.40. 123 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.066868
0.07290358
0.08124482
0.10300782
0.1432813
0.158822
0.1710831
0.1912843
0.208851
0.2950901
0.303801,281
0.343801,661

Spread0.02Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.047474
0.031,2491,323
0.021101,432
0.014181,851

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.967474
0.971,2491,323
0.981101,432
0.994181,851

Spread0.02Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.946868
0.93290358
0.92124482
0.90300782
0.8632813
0.858822
0.8310831
0.8112843
0.808851
0.7150901
0.703801,281
0.663801,661

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
romanew-1-newYes104.17
AJSVYes89.19
LonelyScissorsYes80
LineEditorYes65.11
blackmamba11Yes59.26
LovelyPandaYes53.83
zwaaanYes52.94
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes50
TougeYes37.5
romanew-cryptoYes31.82
PPMTYes21.94
0xc794…4e3eYes13.13
Mr.GoonerYes12.85
romanew-crypYes11.71
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329Yes11
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
TheDaoYes4.99
WowiwowNo450.75
randomWalkingShrimpNo64.26
spacexstarNo51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:20:32SELLYes0.046$0.24
12:40:14BUYNo0.9644$41.78
06:29:23BUYYes0.076139716413$1.00
19:23:27BUYNo0.955$4.82
19:23:26BUYNo0.94134$126.12
17:45:35BUYYes0.118$0.86
15:21:12BUYYes0.094443298253$5.00
14:59:02SELLYes0.055$0.25
12:01:47SELLYes0.055$0.25
10:06:08BUYNo0.9411$10.34
09:24:42BUYNo0.911$1.15
09:24:12BUYNo0.91$1.10
09:24:11BUYNo0.8932$28.32
08:20:30BUYNo0.90999998664$3.40
08:20:29BUYNo0.896410784197$87.11
07:56:21BUYNo0.8751$44.37
07:56:18BUYNo0.8699999742$2.01
07:56:17BUYNo0.8658$50.23
07:54:59BUYNo0.85999997854$3.20
07:54:57BUYNo0.84$3.01
07:54:57BUYNo0.8100$80.00
22:52:12BUYYes0.265$1.30
22:42:33BUYYes0.269999996659$16.00
11:42:23SELLNo0.786,637$5176.55
11:41:57BUYNo0.926,637$6105.67