PolyBot

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LineEditor

0x04f6dab1a3d35fc9ad828536cd0f493013fd311a

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$327.5k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$732.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0910.410$291.70+$226.70
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4300.350$162.79$37.21
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3730.271$72.65$27.35
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · Yes0.1950.165$62.78$11.58
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes0.1330.160$59.56+$10.14
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0270.024$44.28$5.71
Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · No0.4000.410$20.50+$0.50
Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.5000.275$13.75$11.25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8000.650$3.25$0.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2370.001$0.06$29.94
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00$309.00
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$60.00
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$12.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.3700.000$0.00$60.00
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$220.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:22Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.21$6.30
08-05 00:22Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.21$3.15
08-05 00:21Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.21$9.37
08-05 00:21Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.2$27.63
08-05 00:18Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.1777777778$16.00
08-05 00:16Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.1327600193$49.42
08-04 23:38Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.5$25.00
08-04 23:34Will Leavitt say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.4$20.00
08-04 22:52Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call?BUY0.8334630349$51.00
08-04 22:36Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?BUY0.67$10.15
08-04 22:36Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?BUY0.6726760563$47.76
08-01 22:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.236747868$30.00
07-31 16:15U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6422958602$200.00
07-31 16:14Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.9883281809$301.15
07-31 16:13U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6494643867$49.00