romanew-cryp
0xbd9109baf490cfc9841cec9bb09cecf9aec56262
- Realised P&L
- $824.27
- Volume
- $236.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,842
- Open portfolio
- $37.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,842
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.18at 0.106Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
- +$13.58at 0.168Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
- +$12.13at 0.711Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$11.66at 0.223Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.11at 0.090Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:57 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May? | SELL | 0.358 | $1.92 |
| 05-08 12:15 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 05-07 21:04 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL | 0.124 | $1.03 |
| 05-07 21:03 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL | 0.124 | $0.93 |
| 05-07 19:00 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.41 |
| 05-07 14:39 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 05-07 05:34 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.73 |
| 05-06 17:10 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.129 | $1.84 |
| 05-06 09:59 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.134 | $1.71 |
| 05-04 07:01 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 05-01 15:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.222 | $1.64 |
| 05-01 05:33 | Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 04-30 18:56 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 04-30 00:01 | Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.08 |
| 04-29 21:44 | Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |