PolyBot

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Traders

blackmamba11

0xfd9f38391aebfcb3bd8dc117961ae881b37b6610

Realised P&L
$-199.15
Volume
$64.8k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$158.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8000.840$84.00+$4.00
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? · Yes0.3150.205$70.67−$37.83
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · Yes0.2700.045$2.67−$13.33
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD? · Yes0.0200.003$1.50−$8.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3050.000$0.00−$100.62
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.4350.000$0.00−$51.75
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.2900.000$0.00−$10.15
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5200.000$0.00−$20.55
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) · Kamaru Usman0.2800.000$0.00−$30.79
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$20.11
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$16.50
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:42Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.2699999966$16.00
09-30 22:26Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?BUY0.359474828$70.00
09-30 11:54Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.65$13.00
07-11 20:25Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2199999891$15.00
07-10 14:42Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.46$28.52
07-09 17:45Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.39$1.95
07-07 20:24Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.996$0.43
07-07 11:29Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.2$1.23
07-06 20:49Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?SELL0.28$2.80
07-04 17:16Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?SELL0.44$32.56
07-04 17:16Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?SELL0.48$17.28
07-03 21:04Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?SELL0.18$0.82
07-03 17:58Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?SELL0.26$7.80
07-02 13:01Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$79.63
07-02 10:31Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.42$105.00