randomWalkingShrimp
0x30d1c420d1abde9442d6762dd6f6d5f92df04525
- Realised P&L
- $39.4k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 1,865
- Open portfolio
- $37.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,865
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.353Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.628Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$2.0kat 0.449Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.465TikTok banned in 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.733Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:18 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 06:18 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 10-31 03:18 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-31 03:18 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-31 02:35 | Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.92 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9066993069 | $82.41 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8871693675 | $67.89 |
| 10-29 02:20 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 10-27 08:39 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $345.00 |
| 10-27 06:18 | Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.53 |
| 10-26 07:22 | Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 10-26 07:06 | Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31? | BUY | 0.8960233298 | $135.19 |
| 10-26 06:55 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $259.25 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 10-17 15:12 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.08 |