PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zwaaan

0x33151ea579904d4cefe51590b5efb26f1f1f2282

Realised P&L
$-195.85
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$226.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · No0.5640.705$41.75+$8.35
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8700.890$35.80+$0.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5760.519$31.59−$3.41
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3970.355$24.89−$2.91
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4900.514$21.00+$1.00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yes0.5850.602$20.58+$0.58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.785$20.39+$0.39
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2510.261$13.50+$0.50
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? · No0.5500.536$9.75−$0.25
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? · Yes0.0940.060$3.18−$1.82
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0460.040$2.58−$0.42
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.002$1.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 22:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
10-03 17:35Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?BUY0.5499999753$10.00
10-03 15:10Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSELL0.999$56.30
10-03 14:14Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.8869999985$50.00
10-03 14:13Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$57.58
10-03 13:08Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.8499999976$35.00
10-03 13:07Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$35.96
10-03 13:07Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.8499999939$14.00
10-03 12:27Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.7299999876$10.00
10-03 12:06Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-03 12:05Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.999$29.97
10-03 12:04Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.9099999991$20.00
10-03 11:38Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.9$18.00
10-03 11:38Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.9$9.00
10-03 10:58Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?BUY0.67$13.40