PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

romanew-crypto

0xdd3beadff0dee12b8f8d572ae55a6b8bc1fc9f3a

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$340.2k
Markets traded
5,220
Open portfolio
$333.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,220
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? · Yes0.0630.039$7.80−$4.70
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3100.265$5.98−$1.02
Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3500.555$5.55+$2.05
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.157$5.25+$1.81
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000? · Yes0.2800.393$4.91+$1.41
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? · Yes0.1600.335$4.83+$2.52
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3200.415$4.54+$1.04
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? · No0.1900.245$4.51+$1.01
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · Yes0.0930.089$4.45−$0.20
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? · Yes0.1400.175$4.38+$0.88
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · No0.1120.087$4.35−$1.25
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.545$4.33+$0.83
Will "Big Walk" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? · Yes0.2280.135$4.12−$2.88
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? · Yes0.4700.855$4.03+$1.81
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.201$4.02−$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 23:05Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?SELL0.09$2.37
05-08 22:29Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.1$1.62
05-08 00:47Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.07$1.62
05-07 18:46Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?SELL0.24$3.40
05-07 03:34Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.022$0.24
05-07 03:07Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?SELL0.17$1.55
05-07 03:06Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?SELL0.061$0.34
05-06 07:18Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.6$5.99
05-04 14:47Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.084$2.07
05-04 02:41Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?SELL0.039$0.28
05-03 23:16Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?SELL0.21$1.05
05-03 11:59Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.003$0.02
05-03 03:21Will Truist fail by end of 2026?SELL0.05$0.73
05-03 02:37Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?SELL0.064$1.29
05-02 12:51Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?SELL0.01$0.06