0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519
0x40c73f1916fbd495f8117dc5755561ad778cb1e8
- Realised P&L
- $553.42
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,045
- Open portfolio
- $706.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,045
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.25at 0.320Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$6.04at 0.054Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
- +$5.93at 0.551Will JL Find a Team Before September?
- +$5.37at 0.153Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?
- +$5.30at 0.210Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:35 | Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-15 23:27 | Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-15 08:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 50%-55%? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-13 20:18 | Will the Rams win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-13 10:19 | Will Martin Eštočák win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 09-12 10:35 | Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.265 | $1.33 |
| 09-12 08:11 | Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-12 00:58 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 12% or more? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.23 |
| 09-11 19:58 | Will Jayden Higgins have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 09-11 14:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.088 | $0.44 |
| 09-11 01:02 | Will Vincent Marissal win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-10 12:54 | Will Texas Tech Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-09 20:58 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-07 23:03 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-07 20:03 | Will Trump say "Intel" in September? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |