0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519
0x40c73f1916fbd495f8117dc5755561ad778cb1e8
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $69.0k
- Markets traded
- 6,995
- Open portfolio
- $846.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,995
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$5.37at 0.153Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?
- +$5.30at 0.210Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-29 22:10 | Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-29 08:58 | Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.661 | $3.31 |
| 10-28 07:18 | Will Christian Watson have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 10-28 04:50 | Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-27 21:42 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | SELL | 0.166 | $0.83 |
| 10-26 17:59 | Will Mike Evans have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-26 06:02 | Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-26 05:10 | DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-25 23:59 | Will C.J. Stroud have 25.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-24 21:35 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 10-24 14:51 | Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-23 22:19 | Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-23 11:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.22 |
| 10-23 10:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.21 |