Mr.Gooner
0xbfab29d154cf2bad1053cb64751238b022b1036a
- Realised P&L
- $-105.38
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $85.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.05at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$18.80at 0.431Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$12.40at 0.622Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$7.44at 0.256Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$6.43at 0.357Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:22 | Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.79 |
| 10-01 17:45 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.86 |
| 10-01 01:19 | Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by September 30? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 18:17 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:11 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5769997513 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:28 | Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-26 20:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.30 |
| 09-24 14:27 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:55 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:03 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 21:21 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-14 21:18 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-09 16:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1449999942 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 05:37 | Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |