PolyBot

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Traders

0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998

0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078

Realised P&L
$-127.42
Volume
$270.4k
Markets traded
3,204
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,204
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:08Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?SELL0.13$3.79
09-15 21:51Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?BUY0.2$4.00
09-15 11:44Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?BUY0.08$2.32
09-15 11:38Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?SELL0.37$12.68
09-14 19:21Will Davante Adams have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.11$0.99
09-14 17:44Will Chris Godwin have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.51$5.26
09-14 16:26Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?BUY0.25$12.50
09-11 14:02Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$19.00
09-10 13:44Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.46$12.62
09-10 00:01Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$10.20
09-09 21:49Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$3.67
09-09 11:25LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.53$26.50
09-07 15:13Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?SELL0.56$25.47
09-07 04:01Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.25$5.00
09-06 23:25Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?SELL0.18$1.03