0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998
0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078
- Realised P&L
- $-127.42
- Volume
- $270.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,204
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.35at 0.160Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
- +$137.44at 0.120Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
- +$130.89at 0.090Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4?
- +$124.32at 0.223Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
- +$123.00at 0.050Will JL Find a Team Before September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:08 | Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.79 |
| 09-15 21:51 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.32 |
| 09-15 11:38 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $12.68 |
| 09-14 19:21 | Will Davante Adams have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.99 |
| 09-14 17:44 | Will Chris Godwin have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.26 |
| 09-14 16:26 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-10 13:44 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $12.62 |
| 09-10 00:01 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 09-09 21:49 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.67 |
| 09-09 11:25 | LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-07 15:13 | Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.56 | $25.47 |
| 09-07 04:01 | Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 23:25 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.03 |