LovelyPanda
0x2ccfb21247690ff64f90926b3d0ea4579eee5f6a
- Realised P&L
- $-197.87
- Volume
- $177.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,226
- Open portfolio
- $366.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,226
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.02at 0.060Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?
- +$45.06at 0.016Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?
- +$41.38at 0.090Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?
- +$39.31at 0.017Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?
- +$32.01at 0.110Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 10:58 | Will Kerala Blasters FC win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.78 |
| 10-10 08:43 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.69 |
| 10-10 07:58 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 30% to 32%? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.11 |
| 10-10 07:58 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.64 |
| 10-10 07:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.02 |
| 10-10 06:30 | Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.49 |
| 10-10 04:44 | Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon? | SELL | 0.82 | $7.17 |
| 10-09 19:58 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.07 |
| 10-09 17:47 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | SELL | 0.17 | $6.26 |
| 10-09 17:32 | Miami (OH) vs. UMass | SELL | 0.38 | $6.82 |
| 10-09 16:16 | Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.27 |
| 10-09 14:32 | Will Isaias peak at Category 3? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.06 |
| 10-09 14:02 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.54 |
| 10-09 05:17 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $7.80 |
| 10-09 04:46 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.18 |