spacexstar
0xb06cfb91a1e7abeec433c16db112aa046c79b574
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $241.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,017
- Open portfolio
- $24.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,017
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$898.21at 0.400Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$890.29at 0.239US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$417.21at 0.842Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$240.64at 0.797Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$200.02at 0.720Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:20 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.66 |
| 10-15 02:49 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.59 |
| 10-15 02:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $7.40 |
| 10-15 02:19 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-15 02:19 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.65 |
| 10-15 02:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $11.83 |
| 10-15 02:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.935 | $3.74 |
| 10-15 02:06 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.079 | $1.64 |
| 10-15 01:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 10-15 01:28 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.189 | $2.21 |
| 10-15 01:28 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.55 |
| 10-15 01:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-15 01:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.44 |
| 10-15 01:12 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.454 | $11.24 |
| 10-15 01:12 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.454 | $34.15 |