Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-18
Resolves by: https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.009 to 0.052. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	10	10
0.040	20	30
0.041	54	84
0.042	550	634
0.045	10	644
0.047	150	794
0.048	464	1,258
0.049	200	1,458
0.050	55	1,513
0.055	83	1,596
0.098	150	1,746
0.099	220	1,966

Spread0.020Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	20	20
0.013	40	60
0.012	250	310
0.011	2,299	2,609
0.007	565	3,174
0.004	22	3,196
0.003	54	3,250
0.002	10,249	13,498
0.001	17,395	30,894

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	20	20
0.987	40	60
0.988	250	310
0.989	2,299	2,609
0.993	565	3,174
0.996	22	3,196
0.997	54	3,250
0.998	10,249	13,498
0.999	17,395	30,894

Spread0.020Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	10	10
0.960	20	30
0.959	54	84
0.958	550	634
0.955	10	644
0.953	150	794
0.952	464	1,258
0.951	200	1,458
0.950	55	1,513
0.945	83	1,596
0.902	150	1,746
0.901	220	1,966

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	395.96
2B9S	Yes	299.83
philou747	Yes	292.35
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	149.79
cigarettes	Yes	142.86
Cashmeowio	Yes	110.37
haouibao	Yes	85
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	77.54
0x9AfD26142D6FA89a57FFbC77b893d309cABAC377-1783211557781	Yes	69.31
0x492D6FDb189cd7A1Bb7FD19620a4156A25BFc5B9-1775331957162	Yes	63.41
jimmyTrade	Yes	63.39
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	60
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	41.99
mustbethewater	Yes	40.11
donthackme	Yes	40.1
Hochul325	Yes	25.6
planktonXD	Yes	24.08
Numitus1994	Yes	21
balthazar	Yes	20
Kaskstp	Yes	13.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:52:09	BUY	No	0.985999999	2	$2.00
00:34:09	BUY	Yes	0.05	6	$0.30
00:20:03	BUY	Yes	0.049	9	$0.44
21:11:19	BUY	Yes	0.03	20	$0.60
19:36:30	BUY	Yes	0.025	7	$0.17
15:01:34	BUY	No	0.9889999991	10	$10.00
10:10:24	BUY	No	0.9827292857	28	$27.52
19:15:36	BUY	Yes	0.04	10	$0.40
06:55:23	BUY	Yes	0.0194416527	18	$0.35
19:22:02	SELL	Yes	0.011	18	$0.20
18:50:43	BUY	No	0.989	50	$49.45
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.989	30	$29.67
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.989	22	$21.63
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.9889999999	80	$79.04
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.989	52	$51.66
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.989	30	$29.67
12:36:20	SELL	Yes	0.011	0	$0.00
08:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:51	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:48	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:45	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:44	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:41	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:22:39	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05
08:15:36	BUY	Yes	0.011	5	$0.05