0x492D6FDb189cd7A1Bb7FD19620a4156A25BFc5B9-1775331957162
0x492d6fdb189cd7a1bb7fd19620a4156a25bfc5b9
- Realised P&L
- $-16.75
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $9.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.72at 0.120China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$6.08at 0.146Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
- +$0.67at 0.600Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$0.29at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$0.05at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 02:21 | Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M? | BUY | 0.0052032182 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:21 | Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M? | BUY | 0.0137097732 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:21 | Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5M and $6M? | BUY | 0.0178775386 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:21 | Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:20 | Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M? | BUY | 0.0180570603 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 02:09 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:27 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:27 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | BUY | 0.0112887591 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:27 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 16m? | BUY | 0.0014064065 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:26 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? | BUY | 0.0014844724 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:26 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | BUY | 0.0030297092 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:25 | Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:21 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.140291807 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:19 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0048392404 | $1.00 |