PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kaskstp

0xa43b101499fb8220fa3b2ac41f1a84da1ed44c5a

Realised P&L
$58.35
Volume
$55.1k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$24.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.1280.174$1.40+$0.37
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? · Yes0.1610.138$1.38−$0.23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0650.065$1.30+$0.01
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$1.20+$0.40
Will Yesenia Galarza Castro win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.002$1.10+$0.37
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0900.085$1.02−$0.06
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.88+$0.29
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.87+$0.00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.87+$0.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2800.085$0.85−$1.95
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.150$0.75−$0.25
Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.66+$0.00
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.63+$0.21
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.59+$0.00
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.009$0.57+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 23:33Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.04
10-20 23:32Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?SELL0.001$0.03
10-20 23:25Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?SELL0.001$0.02
10-20 23:24Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.001$0.23
10-20 23:17Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?SELL0.001$0.44
10-20 23:15Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?SELL0.001$0.08
10-20 20:29FC Porto vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.82$4.10
10-19 19:23Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.66$3.30
10-19 06:31Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
10-19 06:24Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.01
10-18 21:00Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.02
10-18 18:00Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.05
10-18 15:00Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.09
10-18 12:00Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.19
10-17 13:50RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.041$0.21