Kaskstp
0xa43b101499fb8220fa3b2ac41f1a84da1ed44c5a
- Realised P&L
- $58.35
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $24.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.24at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$6.71at 0.092Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$4.59at 0.541Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.35at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$4.01at 0.080Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 23:33 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 10-20 23:32 | Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-20 23:25 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-20 23:24 | Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 10-20 23:17 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.44 |
| 10-20 23:15 | Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 10-20 20:29 | FC Porto vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-19 19:23 | Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-19 06:31 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:24 | Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-18 21:00 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-18 18:00 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 10-18 15:00 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 10-18 12:00 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.19 |
| 10-17 13:50 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.041 | $0.21 |