Hochul325
0x5284d46712d426a4b281971bca6af2e49f4827f5
- Realised P&L
- $-311.23
- Volume
- $75.2k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $4.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.072 | $2.88 | −$10.72 |
| Will Andreas Klaffehn win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.035 | $1.42 | −$11.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Blue Jays vs. Royals · Blue Jays | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Orioles vs. Astros · Astros | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| White Sox vs. Yankees · White Sox | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 28? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.72 |
| Guardians vs. Red Sox · Red Sox | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers · Brewers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Brewers vs. Blue Jays · Blue Jays | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Red Sox vs. Yankees · Yankees | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.109Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$561.93at 0.366Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
- +$353.68at 0.530Blue Jays vs. Royals
- +$312.32at 0.460Blue Jays vs. Mariners
- +$300.00at 0.550Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:25 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.74 | $36.99 |
| 08-04 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4177288644 | $8.35 |
| 08-04 01:01 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.248054027 | $4.96 |
| 08-04 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 08-03 09:58 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4151475738 | $8.30 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.48 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 02:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 02:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.253 | $12.65 |
| 08-03 02:13 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | SELL | 0.8109619151 | $29.81 |
| 08-03 02:13 | Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? | SELL | 0.44 | $35.20 |
| 08-03 02:13 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.537 | $80.55 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.5235017509 | $10.46 |
| 08-02 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.12 |
| 08-02 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.349602122 | $3.95 |