PolyBot

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Traders

Hochul325

0x5284d46712d426a4b281971bca6af2e49f4827f5

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$284.3k
Markets traded
2,134
Open portfolio
$429.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,134
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7710.557$31.19$11.99
Will Disney get the U.S. English-language rights to broadcast the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6410.535$19.27$3.82
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.6060.490$15.38$3.64
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? · Yes0.5420.535$14.98$0.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%? · No0.7100.720$14.40+$0.20
Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty? · No0.5520.545$14.17$0.19
Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H? · No0.6620.450$11.70$5.52
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? · Yes0.4120.390$10.14$0.58
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · No0.5320.385$10.01$3.83
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No0.4410.419$9.64$0.49
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · No0.2910.153$8.57$7.73
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.4620.325$8.45$3.57
Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6320.675$7.42+$0.47
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? · No0.3920.275$7.15$3.05
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · Yes0.6650.570$6.84$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:24Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?SELL0.28$1.68
09-20 08:17Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SELL0.3$1.80
09-20 07:20Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$1.62
09-20 07:16Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?SELL0.68$4.07
09-20 06:45Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?SELL0.05$1.52
09-20 06:45Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?SELL0.1$0.07
09-20 06:39Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?SELL0.54$3.23
09-20 05:14Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?SELL0.44$2.39
09-20 05:14Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?SELL0.53$3.17
09-20 03:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.26$1.56
09-19 20:00Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?SELL0.52$4.68
09-19 16:51Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?SELL0.16$0.96
09-19 16:05Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?SELL0.21$1.05
09-19 16:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.32$1.92
09-19 15:39Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?SELL0.38$2.28