Hochul325
0x5284d46712d426a4b281971bca6af2e49f4827f5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $284.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,134
- Open portfolio
- $429.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,134
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.109Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$561.93at 0.366Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
- +$353.68at 0.530Blue Jays vs. Royals
- +$312.32at 0.460Blue Jays vs. Mariners
- +$300.00at 0.550Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:24 | Will Uzbekistan win Group B at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-20 07:20 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 09-20 07:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | SELL | 0.68 | $4.07 |
| 09-20 06:45 | Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 06:45 | Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.07 |
| 09-20 06:39 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.23 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.39 |
| 09-20 05:14 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.17 |
| 09-20 03:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $4.68 |
| 09-19 16:51 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 09-19 16:05 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 16:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.92 |
| 09-19 15:39 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.28 |