PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

No-risk-no-bisc

0xb7c051650a517200c4fd7997ffed4d737266e24e

Realised P&L
$-468.25
Volume
$77.5k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$107.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0020.008$20.86+$15.86
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0400.055$11.00+$3.00
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.015$10.80+$5.76
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.018$7.25+$4.35
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.013$6.25+$1.25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.015$5.80−$0.20
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.015$4.50−$1.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.004$4.36−$3.33
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.026$3.97+$2.92
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0150.012$3.96−$0.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.005$3.85−$2.35
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.013$3.73+$0.86
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.026$2.96+$2.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.0100.015$2.90+$0.90
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.004$1.75−$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 22:10Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.40
10-14 22:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$3.60
10-14 22:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$4.00
09-29 13:08Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.0019175455$5.00
09-17 11:01No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
09-10 10:54Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
09-08 14:00Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
08-31 22:45Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0169376694$5.00
08-21 12:42US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?BUY0.0191776619$5.00
08-18 21:02Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0036481835$5.00
08-18 21:02Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0162654265$5.00
08-17 18:54Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0078431526$5.00
08-17 18:54Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008138352$5.00
08-13 21:05Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.005999997$2.00
08-13 21:05Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.004$1.00