PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

No-risk-no-bisc

0xb7c051650a517200c4fd7997ffed4d737266e24e

Realised P&L
$-454.27
Volume
$63.9k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$56.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.0500.086$17.10+$7.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.012$4.80$1.20
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.005$3.85+$0.35
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No0.0200.009$2.70$3.30
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.005$2.50+$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0160.007$2.34$2.66
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0170.007$2.21$2.79
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.011$2.20+$0.00
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.003$1.75$0.35
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.003$1.50$0.30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.006$1.48$2.21
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0170.004$1.33$3.67
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00+$0.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.016$0.99+$0.31
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.003$0.96$4.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 10:54Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
09-08 14:00Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
08-31 22:45Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0169376694$5.00
08-21 12:42US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?BUY0.0191776619$5.00
08-18 21:02Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0036481835$5.00
08-18 21:02Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0162654265$5.00
08-17 18:54Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0078431526$5.00
08-17 18:54Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008138352$5.00
08-13 21:05Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.005999997$2.00
08-13 21:05Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.004$1.00
08-02 11:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?BUY0.0339999966$10.00
08-02 11:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?BUY0.012$5.00
07-31 23:20Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0129753644$5.00
07-31 11:35No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.0217548949$5.00
07-25 23:45Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.004$5.00