No-risk-no-bisc
0xb7c051650a517200c4fd7997ffed4d737266e24e
- Realised P&L
- $-315.38
- Volume
- $52.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $89.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.004Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.00at 0.007Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.00at 0.010Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.00at 0.024Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-7.00at 0.027Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.0339999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 11:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0129753644 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 11:35 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0217548949 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:45 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:42 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 07:08 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.38 |
| 07-13 11:13 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0131146041 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 11:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 11:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 11:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 23:31 | Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.0223685118 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 19:14 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.0130872433 | $5.00 |