No-risk-no-bisc
0xb7c051650a517200c4fd7997ffed4d737266e24e
- Realised P&L
- $-454.27
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $56.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.25at 0.006Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$248.96at 0.004Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$231.28at 0.022Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$224.59at 0.023No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.25at 0.031Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 10:54 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:00 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 22:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169376694 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 12:42 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.0191776619 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 21:02 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0036481835 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 21:02 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0162654265 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 18:54 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0078431526 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 18:54 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008138352 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 21:05 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.005999997 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 21:05 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.0339999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 11:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0129753644 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 11:35 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0217548949 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 23:45 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |