Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.21 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.06 to 0.56. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	600	600
0.14	50	650
0.25	9	659
0.33	50	709
0.34	52	761
0.35	10	771
0.36	90	861
0.37	8	869
0.38	30	899
0.39	56	955
0.43	30	985
0.45	35	1,020

Spread0.05Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	141	141
0.05	108	249
0.03	20	269
0.02	715	984
0.01	1,280	2,264

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	141	141
0.95	108	249
0.97	20	269
0.98	715	984
0.99	1,280	2,264

Spread0.05Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	600	600
0.86	50	650
0.75	9	659
0.67	50	709
0.66	52	761
0.65	10	771
0.64	90	861
0.63	8	869
0.62	30	899
0.61	56	955
0.57	30	985
0.55	35	1,020

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	635.65
Gemini456	Yes	297.36
Ricil	Yes	216.83
Blackwaterddd	Yes	200
rocky42019	Yes	172.24
Gemini123	Yes	142.85
0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678	Yes	114.25
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	81.98
2B9S	Yes	54.74
Tallguy2527	Yes	40
sdssds	Yes	38.17
0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834	Yes	28
JsonStatham	Yes	20.34
ImSweating	Yes	20
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	Yes	18.07
sky886	Yes	15.91
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433	Yes	11.2
hfv	Yes	10.85
0x19557b587304c1e3cc9380F55A59cc72806be6e8-1767866905523	Yes	10
0x3d05…acde	Yes	8.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:08:15	BUY	Yes	0.12	220	$26.40
11:08:12	BUY	Yes	0.12	200	$24.00
11:06:38	BUY	Yes	0.1	16	$1.59
10:06:32	BUY	Yes	0.07	40	$2.80
09:15:29	BUY	Yes	0.1	217	$21.68
09:14:12	SELL	No	0.9	101	$90.50
09:09:30	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
09:09:11	BUY	No	0.8513	100	$85.13
09:08:26	SELL	No	0.84	0	$0.37
09:08:24	BUY	Yes	0.16	75	$12.00
09:08:24	BUY	No	0.7857841141	25	$19.29
09:07:11	BUY	No	0.819999951	2	$2.01
09:07:11	BUY	No	0.81	100	$81.00
09:02:34	BUY	No	0.764313139	70	$53.76
08:54:05	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.75
08:32:02	BUY	Yes	0.27	140	$37.80
08:32:01	SELL	No	0.74	19	$14.39
08:26:38	SELL	No	0.7114230824	70	$49.99
08:25:20	BUY	No	0.73	5	$3.65
08:25:20	SELL	No	0.67	0	$0.19
08:25:17	BUY	Yes	0.3	161	$48.30
08:21:14	BUY	Yes	0.29	110	$31.90
08:14:44	BUY	No	0.7094544229	63	$44.89
08:14:44	SELL	No	0.68	7	$4.86
08:12:32	BUY	No	0.73	7	$5.11