PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433

0xc6e4d704e0d0ef504b53669ae3bf7dea158c2005

Realised P&L
$-13.40
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$10.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9500.930$6.51$0.14
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2070.155$4.34$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 13:06Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.95$6.65
09-21 12:23Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.33$16.50
09-21 12:21Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.22$2.20
09-21 12:20Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.2$3.60
09-21 11:26Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.29$14.50
09-20 21:18Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.21$6.30
09-20 20:43Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1$8.00
09-20 20:42Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.059$1.77
06-20 15:23Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?BUY0.998$250.00
06-20 11:42Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?SELL0.003$0.03
06-17 20:55Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?BUY0.57$6.27
06-15 18:48Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.98$98.00
06-14 21:03Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?BUY0.999$5.00
06-14 15:41Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?BUY0.82$11.59
05-31 14:55Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?BUY0.99$16.63