cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
0xc6e4d704e0d0ef504b53669ae3bf7dea158c2005
- Realised P&L
- $-13.40
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $10.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.950 | 0.930 | $6.51 | −$0.14 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.155 | $4.34 | −$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.64at 0.104Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$12.46at 0.945Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$12.21at 0.940Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$8.71at 0.919Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
- +$7.30at 0.193Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:06 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 09-21 12:23 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 09-21 12:21 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.60 |
| 09-21 11:26 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-20 21:18 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 09-20 20:43 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 20:42 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.059 | $1.77 |
| 06-20 15:23 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $250.00 |
| 06-20 11:42 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 06-17 20:55 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.27 |
| 06-15 18:48 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 06-14 21:03 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 15:41 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14? | BUY | 0.82 | $11.59 |
| 05-31 14:55 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.63 |