Gemini123
0xd61b436add2edf90f7b4b1e2b62a8fb3b640ead3
- Realised P&L
- $815.87
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $263.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.695 | $111.20 | +$17.05 |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.450 | $110.72 | −$3.19 |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.921 | 0.950 | $41.34 | +$1.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$600.41at 0.893Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$128.69at 0.796Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$82.68at 0.858Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?
- +$33.50at 0.993Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$22.39at 0.690Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:03 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.59 | $91.45 |
| 09-29 22:06 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.47 | $34.15 |
| 09-29 20:15 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-29 14:00 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August? | BUY | 0.9750452394 | $140.09 |
| 09-29 14:00 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August? | BUY | 0.9975583864 | $42.29 |
| 09-29 12:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.97 |
| 09-29 12:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.97 |
| 09-29 12:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 12:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 07:39 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.46 | $33.76 |