0x64B2Df86320431478146E55fbBD10C012502a9f8-1776646852678
0x64b2df86320431478146e55fbbd10c012502a9f8
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $160.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $199.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.178US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $72.74 |
| 09-17 00:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0893589744 | $6.97 |
| 09-16 11:42 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 09-16 10:43 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.09 | $19.89 |
| 09-16 10:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4076923077 | $26.50 |
| 09-16 10:33 | Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $53.08 |
| 07-27 00:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.065 | $307.58 |
| 07-23 15:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0813112907 | $556.25 |
| 04-22 13:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.067 | $147.40 |
| 04-22 09:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.069979 | $699.79 |
| 04-22 05:37 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.0168427778 | $30.32 |
| 04-22 04:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.059 | $200.60 |
| 04-22 03:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.061 | $51.85 |
| 04-22 03:04 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.0598326 | $11.97 |