PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde

Realised P&L
$455.68
Volume
$93.8k
Markets traded
2,157
Open portfolio
$37.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,157
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0400.070$2.54+$1.09
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? · Yes0.0420.066$2.28+$0.82
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0900.130$2.27+$0.70
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.2800.315$1.96+$0.22
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.2600.295$1.94+$0.23
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · No0.3000.305$1.83+$0.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · No0.0600.085$1.70+$0.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1000.103$1.68+$0.06
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1800.155$1.48$0.24
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.1300.115$1.42$0.19
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1750.356$1.42+$0.72
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.1500.130$1.38$0.21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.2100.385$1.32+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19? · Yes0.1800.130$1.24$0.48
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · No0.1400.103$1.21$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:37Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.25$1.89
09-17 19:34Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?SELL0.16$1.86
09-17 18:06Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.18$1.15
09-17 16:36Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?SELL0.12$1.24
09-17 12:54Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.008$0.11
09-17 05:26Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.17$1.73
09-17 00:42Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.13$2.82
09-16 19:51Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?SELL0.24$1.47
09-16 17:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 17?SELL0.01$0.30
09-16 14:22Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.015$0.16
09-16 13:23Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.014$0.14
09-16 06:43Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?SELL0.2766666667$2.08
09-15 23:37Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.09$1.26
09-15 16:02Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?SELL0.1$0.71
09-15 15:44Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.09$2.07