0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
- Realised P&L
- $455.68
- Volume
- $93.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,157
- Open portfolio
- $37.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,157
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.77at 0.051Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.64at 0.120Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$10.16at 0.300Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
- +$9.06at 0.010Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?
- +$8.76at 0.010Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.89 |
| 09-17 19:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.86 |
| 09-17 18:06 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.15 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.11 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.73 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.82 |
| 09-16 19:51 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.47 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 09-16 14:22 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 13:23 | Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.2766666667 | $2.08 |
| 09-15 23:37 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.26 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.71 |
| 09-15 15:44 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.07 |