0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
- Realised P&L
- $693.97
- Volume
- $145.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,493
- Open portfolio
- $34.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,493
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.10at 0.004Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
- +$22.11at 0.020Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$11.77at 0.051Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$11.34at 0.040Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
- +$10.64at 0.120Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:51 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.63 |
| 11-02 04:27 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.55 |
| 11-02 03:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.08 |
| 11-02 01:49 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 22:23 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 20:28 | Will Ca$ino (Baby Keem) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.45 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.71 |
| 11-01 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1? | SELL | 0.0304324982 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 09:11 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.11 |
| 11-01 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 01:58 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.36 |
| 10-31 18:25 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 10-31 10:11 | Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.0105992602 | $0.26 |
| 10-31 00:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.95 |