PolyBot

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Traders

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde

Realised P&L
$693.97
Volume
$145.2k
Markets traded
3,493
Open portfolio
$34.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,493
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? · No0.2700.690$2.76+$1.68
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yes0.1400.180$2.06+$0.46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2000.215$1.84+$0.13
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026? · Yes0.0210.022$1.65+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 3? · Yes0.1200.120$1.62+$0.00
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.1100.110$1.62+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 3? · Yes0.1100.105$1.53−$0.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.1300.115$1.45−$0.19
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026? · No0.2400.205$1.43−$0.24
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? · No0.0300.027$1.38−$0.15
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · No0.0200.018$1.25−$0.10
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2900.190$1.14−$0.60
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? · No0.2700.145$0.95−$0.82
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · Yes0.2410.136$0.88−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 3? · Yes0.0500.025$0.75−$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:51Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?SELL0.08$0.63
11-02 04:27Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?SELL0.21$2.55
11-02 03:58Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?SELL0.38$0.08
11-02 01:49Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?SELL0.18$1.24
11-01 22:23Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.001$0.05
11-01 20:28Will Ca$ino (Baby Keem) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.01$0.45
11-01 17:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?SELL0.2$1.71
11-01 09:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?SELL0.0304324982$1.25
11-01 09:11Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?SELL0.1$1.11
11-01 02:14Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?SELL0.23$2.55
11-01 01:58Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?SELL0.07$1.36
10-31 18:25Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?SELL0.005$0.03
10-31 16:59Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?SELL0.25$1.50
10-31 10:11Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.0105992602$0.26
10-31 00:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?SELL0.046$0.95