0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda
0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda
- Realised P&L
- $-12.0k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 14,894
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,894
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$556.30at 0.500Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
- +$524.27at 0.560Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
- +$512.78at 0.195Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
- +$499.06at 0.374Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026
- +$368.59at 0.860Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 23:10 | Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.684 | $13.68 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.101 | $1.48 |
| 11-01 22:42 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.57 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.253 | $5.06 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.653 | $13.06 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.16 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $9.08 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 22:36 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 11-01 22:34 | Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.075 | $1.07 |