rocky42019
0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
- Realised P&L
- $21.5k
- Volume
- $10.23M
- Markets traded
- 7,427
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,427
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will EC Vitória win on 2025-10-20?
- +$1.2kat 0.050Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
- +$1.2kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 62-63°F on January 28?
- +$1.2kat 0.208Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.073Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:22 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.70 |
| 10-30 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-29 01:06 | Knicks vs. Bulls | SELL | 0.72 | $30.24 |
| 10-28 23:43 | Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5 | SELL | 0.51 | $103.53 |
| 10-28 14:50 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.956 | $248.56 |
| 10-27 20:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $11.96 |
| 10-26 14:58 | Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.54 | $37.80 |
| 10-22 17:01 | Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.66 | $50.16 |
| 10-20 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.55 | $107.25 |
| 10-20 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-20 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.00 |
| 10-19 23:55 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.066 | $6.86 |
| 10-19 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 20:43 | Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $2.64 |
| 10-18 11:53 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.696 | $38.28 |