rocky42019
0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
- Realised P&L
- $18.0k
- Volume
- $10.12M
- Markets traded
- 6,927
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,927
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will EC Vitória win on 2025-10-20?
- +$1.2kat 0.050Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
- +$1.2kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 62-63°F on January 28?
- +$1.2kat 0.208Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.073Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-14 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-14 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:31 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $108.16 |
| 09-11 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 11? | SELL | 0.33 | $18.15 |
| 09-11 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-10 15:11 | LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-09 20:37 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-09 06:11 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.94 |
| 09-08 19:10 | Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.44 | $35.20 |
| 09-08 08:43 | Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $53.82 |
| 09-07 23:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.913 | $209.08 |
| 09-07 19:11 | Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.18 |
| 09-07 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |