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Traders

rocky42019

0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae

Realised P&L
$18.0k
Volume
$10.12M
Markets traded
6,927
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,927
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.8190.819$249.36$0.13
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.3900.385$246.46$3.27
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.5800.535$230.37$19.33
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.4780.465$220.41$6.21
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.5620.570$192.88+$2.75
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.5420.605$189.20+$19.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16? · No0.5061.000$185.26+$91.39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7650.775$169.63+$2.20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.5180.457$167.23$22.56
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.5800.615$137.39+$7.83
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4200.455$136.28+$10.49
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.8390.974$133.44+$18.50
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes0.2270.495$113.51+$61.39
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.7200.760$94.65+$4.98
Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera · Marina Bassols Ribera0.3420.360$84.53+$4.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:07Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 15?SELL0.4$2.00
09-14 09:18Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 14?SELL0.58$2.90
09-14 05:55Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on September 14?SELL0.72$3.60
09-14 04:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14?SELL0.4$2.00
09-13 14:31Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.52$108.16
09-11 14:18Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 11?SELL0.33$18.15
09-11 04:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11?SELL0.45$9.00
09-10 15:11LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsSELL0.43$4.30
09-09 20:37Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.4$3.20
09-09 06:11Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?SELL0.47$47.94
09-08 19:10Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-08?SELL0.44$35.20
09-08 08:43Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSELL0.69$53.82
09-07 23:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.913$209.08
09-07 19:11Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?SELL0.38$4.18
09-07 14:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7?SELL0.39$3.90