PolyBot

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Traders

Ricil

0x50b11915d2ee7a0131e6df1dc856fcee4806988c

Realised P&L
$197.69
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$127.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 13:13Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.2593826687$60.00
10-29 03:00Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.4688995185$40.00
10-28 20:35Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.00299464$1.50
10-27 17:21Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.12$60.00
10-24 15:33Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1429887831$30.00
10-22 08:00Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1627993829$40.00
10-22 07:46Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1856677523$60.00
10-18 17:40Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
10-18 17:34Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.26$83.87
10-17 16:38Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.3099999992$100.00
10-17 16:36Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.23$74.83
10-17 06:15Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.2685338037$20.00
10-15 14:33Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1993111806$50.00
10-10 20:36Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.2926099245$50.00
10-07 10:55Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.3899999983$40.00