Ricil
0x50b11915d2ee7a0131e6df1dc856fcee4806988c
- Realised P&L
- $197.69
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $127.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.57at 0.146Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$149.67at 0.338Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$119.11at 0.303Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$70.31at 0.592Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$66.88at 0.245Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:13 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.2593826687 | $60.00 |
| 10-29 03:00 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.4688995185 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 20:35 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.00299464 | $1.50 |
| 10-27 17:21 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 10-24 15:33 | Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1429887831 | $30.00 |
| 10-22 08:00 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1627993829 | $40.00 |
| 10-22 07:46 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1856677523 | $60.00 |
| 10-18 17:40 | Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 17:34 | Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.26 | $83.87 |
| 10-17 16:38 | Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 16:36 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.23 | $74.83 |
| 10-17 06:15 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.2685338037 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 14:33 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1993111806 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 20:36 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.2926099245 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 10:55 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.3899999983 | $40.00 |