PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834

0x7d3320778860940e24bdb9fd1a93fd3365bec15f

Realised P&L
$-896.98
Volume
$124.4k
Markets traded
531
Open portfolio
$738.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded531
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.6130.895$87.71+$27.59
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · No0.3870.610$73.20+$26.80
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.4200.525$44.63+$8.93
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.5100.665$33.25+$7.75
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.7770.875$30.63+$3.42
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · No0.1400.300$30.05+$16.08
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.695$29.19+$8.19
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.705$25.38+$4.86
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.700$24.71+$0.71
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.1800.310$23.87+$10.01
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.7300.805$22.53+$2.10
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? · No0.2100.170$20.91−$4.92
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3600.595$19.83+$7.83
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3300.447$18.75+$4.89
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.3300.570$18.24+$7.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:35No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.71$13.49
09-27 14:44Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.87$17.40
09-26 20:40Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.51$13.77
09-26 05:39Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?SELL0.967$8.72
09-25 21:44Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?SELL0.951$49.25
09-24 10:35Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$13.44
09-24 05:54Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$6.40
09-24 05:49Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.91$16.38
09-24 05:44Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.969$33.50
09-23 21:45Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?BUY0.38$19.68
09-23 13:30Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
09-23 09:45Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.68$20.40
09-23 05:54Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?SELL0.62$22.08
09-23 05:49Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?SELL0.66$19.80
09-23 05:44Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.8$28.80