0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834
0x7d3320778860940e24bdb9fd1a93fd3365bec15f
- Realised P&L
- $-896.98
- Volume
- $124.4k
- Markets traded
- 531
- Open portfolio
- $738.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded531
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.63at 0.610Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$100.86at 0.760Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$96.98at 0.659Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$96.08at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$94.92at 0.284Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:35 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.71 | $13.49 |
| 09-27 14:44 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-26 20:40 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $13.77 |
| 09-26 05:39 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $8.72 |
| 09-25 21:44 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | SELL | 0.951 | $49.25 |
| 09-24 10:35 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.44 |
| 09-24 05:54 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-24 05:49 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.91 | $16.38 |
| 09-24 05:44 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $33.50 |
| 09-23 21:45 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.68 |
| 09-23 13:30 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-23 09:45 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 09-23 05:54 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $22.08 |
| 09-23 05:49 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 09-23 05:44 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.8 | $28.80 |