Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.005 to 0.009. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.006	10	10
0.012	26	36
0.013	9	45
0.014	61	105
0.015	297	402
0.018	80	482
0.025	625	1,107
0.030	706	1,813
0.466	85	1,898
0.467	78	1,976
0.472	60	2,036
0.529	43	2,079

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	58	58
0.004	240	298
0.003	534	832
0.002	1,950	2,782
0.001	7,111	9,893

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	58	58
0.996	240	298
0.997	534	832
0.998	1,950	2,782
0.999	7,111	9,893

Spread0.001Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.994	10	10
0.988	26	36
0.987	9	45
0.986	61	105
0.985	297	402
0.982	80	482
0.975	625	1,107
0.970	706	1,813
0.534	85	1,898
0.533	78	1,976
0.528	60	2,036
0.471	43	2,079

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
m5297	Yes	3,052.43
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	1,660
blablabel	Yes	916.31
0x65165432cC0ce687b28a5Cd3c8993D1a1Aa57B7C-1769239131288	Yes	705.7
0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992	Yes	356.4
cryyy	Yes	340
0xace69632b9E35Aeaf90a3f1A6D44b9C897536C02-1768024170575	Yes	334.08
0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822	Yes	300
kdvks	Yes	255.29
crazymerlyn	Yes	255.01
0x5a8A16ff858E94F99c1af5d8f39DA262163515e1-1772385752988	Yes	210.3
0x318d…d9ff	Yes	157.11
panterooo	Yes	149.38
haruk098	Yes	135
AJSV	Yes	132.78
wtfsss	Yes	130.64
DarrenRussell6340	Yes	112
50sad	Yes	104.38
Gorea	Yes	102.65
xiaodouzi	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:31:33	SELL	Yes	0.005	0	$0.00
21:30:16	BUY	No	0.995	5	$4.97
21:23:21	SELL	Yes	0.005	5	$0.02
21:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.005	5	$0.03
21:23:09	BUY	No	0.995	5	$4.97
20:21:33	SELL	Yes	0.005	3	$0.02
19:02:45	BUY	No	0.994	5	$4.87
15:15:12	BUY	No	0.994	8	$7.95
19:33:24	SELL	No	0.991	3	$3.00
05:39:01	BUY	No	0.994	5	$4.97
21:51:52	BUY	No	0.994	7	$6.53
17:58:36	SELL	Yes	0.006	10	$0.06
17:58:30	SELL	Yes	0.006	5	$0.03
17:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.006	0	$0.00
17:58:18	SELL	Yes	0.006	5	$0.03
11:47:12	SELL	Yes	0.007	40	$0.28
06:31:01	BUY	No	0.994	25	$25.06
06:29:27	BUY	No	0.994	7	$6.96
06:27:49	BUY	No	0.994	5	$4.97
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.993834	20	$19.88
06:26:49	BUY	No	0.993	10	$9.93
00:14:46	BUY	No	0.993	5	$4.96
19:14:28	BUY	No	0.993	14	$13.67
20:49:21	BUY	No	0.99	9	$8.91
01:35:34	BUY	No	0.992	13	$12.70