PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x65165432cC0ce687b28a5Cd3c8993D1a1Aa57B7C-1769239131288

0x65165432cc0ce687b28a5cd3c8993d1a1aa57b7c

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$217.0k
Markets traded
454
Open portfolio
$13.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded454
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.6200.610$9.15$0.15
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0110.005$3.88$4.04
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.0180.013$0.08$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$7.38
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 14? · No0.1810.000$0.00$1.99
Will 20 Cigarettes by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 11? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$21.28
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$6.32
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$9.58
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$5.86
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 08:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22?BUY0.999$0.32
05-22 06:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22?BUY0.999$3.38
05-17 00:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 17?BUY0.9989818044$725.26
05-17 00:25Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 17?BUY0.998$457.75
05-16 13:53Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16?BUY0.999$126.87
05-16 13:50Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?BUY0.999$26.85
05-16 11:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?BUY0.999$5.2k
05-16 11:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?BUY0.999$932.87
05-16 11:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?BUY0.999$374.45
05-16 11:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?BUY0.999$325.77
05-16 11:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?BUY0.999$611.65
05-16 11:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?BUY0.999$15.68
05-15 01:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 15?BUY0.995$0.51
05-14 04:26Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 14?BUY0.999$877.12
05-14 04:26Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 14?BUY0.998$2.02