0x65165432cC0ce687b28a5Cd3c8993D1a1Aa57B7C-1769239131288
0x65165432cc0ce687b28a5cd3c8993d1a1aa57b7c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $217.0k
- Markets traded
- 454
- Open portfolio
- $13.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded454
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.66at 0.170Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
- +$324.30at 0.032Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
- +$113.89at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 3?
- +$65.89at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
- +$36.27at 0.799Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.32 |
| 05-22 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on May 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.38 |
| 05-17 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.9989818044 | $725.26 |
| 05-17 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $457.75 |
| 05-16 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $126.87 |
| 05-16 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.85 |
| 05-16 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.2k |
| 05-16 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $932.87 |
| 05-16 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $374.45 |
| 05-16 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $325.77 |
| 05-16 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $611.65 |
| 05-16 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.68 |
| 05-15 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $0.51 |
| 05-14 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $877.12 |
| 05-14 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.02 |