0xace69632b9E35Aeaf90a3f1A6D44b9C897536C02-1768024170575
0xace69632b9e35aeaf90a3f1a6d44b9c897536c02
- Realised P&L
- $-89.00
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $59.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.36at 0.043Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$83.98at 0.056Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$13.33at 0.600Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$7.20at 0.410Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$6.14at 0.140Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 14:49 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 01:15 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 01:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.044999979 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 01:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 04-02 11:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 11:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 03-31 04:09 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 03-31 04:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 03-28 05:03 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.52 |
| 03-28 05:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 03-28 05:03 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 03-28 05:03 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 03-28 05:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 03-21 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.014424866 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |