PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5a8A16ff858E94F99c1af5d8f39DA262163515e1-1772385752988

0x5a8a16ff858e94f99c1af5d8f39da262163515e1

Realised P&L
$-601.73
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
510
Open portfolio
$2.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded510
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0240.005$1.16$3.84
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2000.042$1.04$3.96
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.002$0.17$0.83
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0500.002$0.15$4.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4310.000$0.00$13.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up0.4630.000$0.00$12.01
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$67.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.6130.000$0.00$8.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.3520.000$0.00$10.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.4340.000$0.00$39.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.5480.000$0.00$9.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.5160.000$0.00$10.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.5160.000$0.00$10.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.4480.000$0.00$27.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.5480.000$0.00$9.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 21:25Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.006999993$1.00
05-16 21:25Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0050329343$1.00
05-06 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.4099999836$5.00
05-06 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.4582312089$5.00
04-12 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.29999997$4.50
04-12 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.53
04-12 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.359999987$9.08
04-12 16:58Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.1799998704$0.88
04-12 16:58Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.1799998704$0.88
04-12 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.16$0.88
04-12 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.3099998295$0.90
04-12 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.53
04-12 12:53Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.17$102.00
04-08 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.7099999432$0.96
03-26 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.3299999812$9.76