0x0d10ff6c461e75Da4792f4fD8FD1d414e6A66B3d-1733169443822
0x0d10ff6c461e75da4792f4fd8fd1d414e6a66b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-195.73
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $432.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.80at 0.362Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$54.00at 0.460Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
- +$35.00at 0.650Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$9.00at 0.910Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.150Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-13 00:40 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 03-13 00:35 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.16 |
| 03-13 00:27 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.71 |
| 03-13 00:01 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $18.90 |
| 03-12 23:32 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 03-12 23:24 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.88 |
| 03-12 23:09 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.48 | $144.00 |
| 03-12 22:59 | Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.010465899 | $4.00 |
| 03-12 22:13 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |