50sad
0xb143fa8c3487d73c719a6aa23484f94fa39f3c17
- Realised P&L
- $198.45
- Volume
- $392.2k
- Markets traded
- 896
- Open portfolio
- $463.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded896
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.59at 0.006Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$14.13at 0.151Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$5.55at 0.015Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
- +$4.35at 0.898Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$4.08at 0.570Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 18:58 | Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-02 16:09 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.16 |
| 08-27 01:28 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.26 |
| 08-26 20:26 | Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-22 00:20 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.097 | $0.54 |
| 08-17 07:37 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.115 | $2.08 |
| 08-16 07:52 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.119 | $0.60 |
| 08-15 09:53 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.30 |
| 08-15 09:49 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.30 |
| 08-15 09:05 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.52 |
| 08-15 08:13 | Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 08-15 05:03 | Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-15 04:44 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.215 | $1.02 |
| 08-15 04:41 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.215 | $1.13 |
| 08-14 22:12 | Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |