blablabel
0xd34da0519622b1f06025813b4190b4c03dccb5c3
- Realised P&L
- $354.15
- Volume
- $313.2k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $52.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.63at 0.142Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$46.65at 0.571Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
- +$37.27at 0.055US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$31.57at 0.723Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
- +$28.88at 0.033Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:11 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.004 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 04:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.33 |
| 07-21 16:40 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 19:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.46 |
| 07-18 20:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0239999967 | $7.00 |
| 07-18 19:58 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.089 | $7.12 |
| 07-18 19:54 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 17:38 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.00 |
| 07-18 17:25 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 06:31 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.8925 | $62.63 |
| 07-15 20:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.142499989 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:36 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1974999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 19:35 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1949999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 21:54 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0279023419 | $10.00 |