PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0xd34da0519622b1f06025813b4190b4c03dccb5c3

Realised P&L
$318.77
Volume
$324.8k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$50.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 20:00Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$10.00
08-20 19:57Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0158742442$10.00
08-20 19:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?BUY0.0266454267$10.00
08-20 19:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
08-20 19:52Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.05$10.00
08-20 19:49Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
08-10 07:01Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0629056985$10.00
08-10 06:59Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.0739147964$10.00
08-10 06:57Will Rodri join Real Madrid?BUY0.0139855096$10.00
08-10 06:53Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1129837019$10.00
08-10 06:45Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?BUY0.0489999955$10.00
07-22 07:11Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?SELL0.004$15.00
07-22 04:18Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?SELL0.006$1.33
07-21 16:40Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
07-20 19:51Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?SELL0.002$1.46