blablabel
0xd34da0519622b1f06025813b4190b4c03dccb5c3
- Realised P&L
- $318.77
- Volume
- $324.8k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $50.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.87at 0.149Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$48.66at 0.004Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
- +$46.65at 0.571Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
- +$37.27at 0.055US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$33.25at 0.003Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 20:00 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:57 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0158742442 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.0266454267 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:53 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:52 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 19:49 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 07:01 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0629056985 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:59 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0739147964 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:57 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0139855096 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:53 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1129837019 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:45 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | BUY | 0.0489999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 07:11 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.004 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 04:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.33 |
| 07-21 16:40 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 19:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.46 |