kdvks
0x0390e3522cb4649a4dfb084f2436e51acafdddc8
- Realised P&L
- $-360.53
- Volume
- $81.1k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.75at 0.035Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$32.60at 0.004Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$10.04at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$9.51at 0.008Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$8.85at 0.020Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 15:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.1299999238 | $1.45 |
| 06-19 17:01 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.50 |
| 05-15 01:20 | Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m? | BUY | 0.0229999902 | $2.26 |
| 05-15 01:06 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.50 |
| 03-27 21:30 | Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.0266830727 | $2.93 |
| 03-27 21:26 | Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.00302169 | $2.93 |
| 03-25 00:25 | Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.03 |
| 03-24 22:39 | Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | SELL | 0.0285825243 | $1.03 |
| 03-19 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19? | BUY | 0.3689953117 | $9.99 |
| 03-19 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19? | BUY | 0.0510883543 | $6.66 |
| 03-19 00:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.6749254155 | $16.65 |
| 03-18 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19? | BUY | 0.0384578406 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 21:00 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999768 | $1.98 |
| 03-18 20:58 | Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.0300690221 | $2.71 |
| 03-18 19:08 | Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.68 |