wtfsss
0x472cf3ab0037d8bc47bfbb34c57c4272b30d9c3d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.89
- Volume
- $513.24
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.722Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
- +$788.00at 0.033Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$564.18at 0.057Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
- +$499.04at 0.639Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
- +$380.19at 0.257Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 03:29 | Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.48 |
| 02-22 03:26 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? | SELL | 0.7357866667 | $33.11 |
| 02-22 03:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.064 | $1.92 |
| 02-22 03:25 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.44 |
| 02-22 03:23 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.942 | $4.71 |
| 02-18 12:38 | Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $6.89 |
| 02-18 12:35 | Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.91 |