PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cryyy

0xce7e77e638432eacd6bf1db8523170f5394202db

Realised P&L
$-13.10
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$7.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2400.205$4.27$0.73
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$1.87$0.07
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0080.004$0.88$1.12
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$1.12
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump dance today? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.88
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.69
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$2.20
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 17:11Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?SELL0.06$1.80
06-20 15:49Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden?BUY0.05$2.00
06-20 15:48Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1$3.00
06-17 18:44Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?SELL0.57$3.35
06-17 16:24Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.01$1.00
06-17 16:23Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-17 16:19Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$1.00
06-17 16:15Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-17 16:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
06-17 16:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
06-15 05:58Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?SELL0.0529042553$8.16
06-15 05:57Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?SELL0.116$6.44
06-12 20:49Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.022999978$1.00
06-12 20:43Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.16$12.31
06-11 17:42Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?BUY0.031134462$4.80