cryyy
0xce7e77e638432eacd6bf1db8523170f5394202db
- Realised P&L
- $-13.10
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $7.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.44at 0.018Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- +$2.86at 0.032Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
- +$2.29at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$1.74at 0.133Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.59at 0.037Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 17:11 | Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 06-20 15:49 | Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Sweden? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 15:48 | Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 06-17 18:44 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.35 |
| 06-17 16:24 | Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:23 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 16:19 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:15 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 05:58 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0529042553 | $8.16 |
| 06-15 05:57 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | SELL | 0.116 | $6.44 |
| 06-12 20:49 | Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 20:43 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.16 | $12.31 |
| 06-11 17:42 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? | BUY | 0.031134462 | $4.80 |