0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992
0x19b87fad1d000fbcbb8253513fdeb50a36f30c6c
- Realised P&L
- $-302.52
- Volume
- $54.2k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $174.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.25at 0.320US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$5.79at 0.630US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$3.89at 0.720US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.800Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.850Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:42 | Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.0020394445 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 19:41 | Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.0107286928 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 19:39 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 18:12 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.49 |
| 10-19 18:11 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 18:07 | Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0090696564 | $1.46 |
| 10-19 18:05 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher? | BUY | 0.007743083 | $1.96 |
| 10-19 17:53 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 17:49 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? | BUY | 0.0104779455 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 17:49 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? | BUY | 0.0048235699 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:51 | Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.015904755 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:50 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0351607282 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0324532392 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |