0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992
0x19b87fad1d000fbcbb8253513fdeb50a36f30c6c
- Realised P&L
- $-290.93
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $132.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.25at 0.320US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$5.79at 0.630US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$3.89at 0.720US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.800Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.850Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 13:51 | Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.015904755 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:50 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0351607282 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0324532392 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:48 | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:47 | Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.0242248531 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:46 | Will TenZ be elected the new Riot Games CEO in 2026? | BUY | 0.0309442098 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:45 | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:35 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.0139999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:35 | Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.0140291517 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:34 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0059999988 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:34 | Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0208938008 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:24 | Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.0150325677 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:22 | Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.0205014942 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 13:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? | BUY | 0.0083278855 | $5.00 |