crazymerlyn
0x31676bc3d0dcacd46a71246f8d6e612a2185679e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $349.7k
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $55.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.12at 0.048Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?
- +$75.42at 0.381Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?
- +$69.00at 0.310Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?
- +$62.23at 0.186Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$59.05at 0.262"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 65 and 69?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 18:29 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 14? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.06 |
| 08-31 17:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 08-30 15:59 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 08-30 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.86 |
| 08-30 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.32 |
| 07-30 01:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.2352380952 | $4.94 |
| 07-30 01:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.04 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.04 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.10 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.76 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.0879285714 | $4.92 |
| 07-28 18:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.32 |
| 07-28 18:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.18 |
| 07-27 17:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.07 |