PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

crazymerlyn

0x31676bc3d0dcacd46a71246f8d6e612a2185679e

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$349.7k
Markets traded
304
Open portfolio
$55.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded304
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0090.082$20.78+$18.49
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0470.070$17.72+$5.74
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0030.018$5.36+$4.44
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0550.202$3.32+$2.41
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0040.009$2.17+$1.15
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.1400.144$1.62+$0.04
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0580.032$1.46$1.18
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0040.005$1.27+$0.26
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0970.030$0.50$1.09
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.2410.020$0.35$3.87
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0030.015$0.27+$0.22
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0220.017$0.17$0.05
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.1260.020$0.16$0.84
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.0340.015$0.13$0.16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 18:29Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 14?BUY0.46$5.06
08-31 17:05Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 7?BUY0.63$5.04
08-30 15:59Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 31?BUY0.86$5.16
08-30 15:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?BUY0.13$2.86
08-30 15:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1?BUY0.06$4.32
07-30 01:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.2352380952$4.94
07-30 01:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?BUY0.12$5.04
07-28 18:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 31?BUY0.18$5.04
07-28 18:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?BUY0.15$5.10
07-28 18:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.1$5.00
07-28 18:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?BUY0.17$4.76
07-28 18:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?BUY0.0879285714$4.92
07-28 18:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.38$5.32
07-28 18:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.37$5.18
07-27 17:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?BUY0.13$5.07