Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.020 to 0.029. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	129	129
0.031	148	277
0.032	4,059	4,336
0.033	5	4,341
0.034	7	4,348
0.039	500	4,848
0.046	500	5,348
0.047	500	5,848
0.048	500	6,348
0.050	8,851	15,199
0.056	21	15,220
0.060	6,200	21,420

Spread0.007Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	7	7
0.022	556	563
0.021	546	1,109
0.020	1,196	2,304
0.019	2,000	4,304
0.017	605	4,909
0.016	117	5,027
0.015	1,309	6,336
0.014	680	7,016
0.013	403	7,418
0.012	777	8,195
0.011	725	8,920

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	7	7
0.978	556	563
0.979	546	1,109
0.980	1,196	2,304
0.981	2,000	4,304
0.983	605	4,909
0.984	117	5,027
0.985	1,309	6,336
0.986	680	7,016
0.987	403	7,418
0.988	777	8,195
0.989	725	8,920

Spread0.007Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	129	129
0.969	148	277
0.968	4,059	4,336
0.967	5	4,341
0.966	7	4,348
0.961	500	4,848
0.954	500	5,348
0.953	500	5,848
0.952	500	6,348
0.950	8,851	15,199
0.944	21	15,220
0.940	6,200	21,420

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xD62840CF26Fab216a46C5c9e9920487098e243c1-1761619024616	Yes	58,803.33
0x981205e2d5d6cCA7e01D9ef248515444cDd0644f-1775695734175	Yes	14,285.71
0x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829	Yes	9,999.97
0x12406DcCf3bd2901Ff09B01Aa3717AFF60541468-1771591252042	Yes	9,082.59
cat6767	Yes	8,612.54
0x6bd3…3e23	Yes	6,009.22
DemoKratic	Yes	5,583.91
0xd11c…e38a	Yes	4,812.67
gaugeinvariance	Yes	3,571.74
gatorr	Yes	3,500
UpTight	Yes	3,499.97
0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771	Yes	2,954.55
0x44d10ad975c3b6b921badf9882e4c281a45c4ed3	Yes	1,999.94
matejbets	Yes	1,999.91
dyffe	Yes	1,769.27
tester0d44	Yes	1,680.23
0x1151a8eA57b5B25105B4F01fBd22bfd07fe7C9aB-1769285568771	Yes	1,572.25
avidadeumamao	Yes	1,562.5
stygimoloch	Yes	1,555.56
DomaDevil	Yes	1,484.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:00:24	SELL	Yes	0.0228027193	152	$3.45
08:03:34	SELL	No	0.969	3	$2.60
20:39:55	BUY	No	0.976	15	$14.64
11:53:07	BUY	Yes	0.031408004	1,114	$35.00
23:33:34	BUY	No	0.9779999967	2	$1.79
23:33:28	BUY	No	0.978	3	$3.33
23:33:27	BUY	No	0.978999992	1	$1.10
23:33:25	BUY	No	0.979	11	$10.77
23:33:25	BUY	No	0.9789999917	1	$1.42
23:33:24	BUY	No	0.9789999987	2	$1.55
23:33:22	BUY	Yes	0.0411034742	6,009	$247.00
21:08:46	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
18:00:28	BUY	Yes	0.0297578516	1,680	$50.00
15:33:12	BUY	No	0.9819999991	11	$11.16
09:40:28	SELL	No	0.974	51	$49.26
03:46:37	BUY	Yes	0.0227928619	439	$10.00
19:28:33	SELL	Yes	0.018	34	$0.61
07:14:24	SELL	Yes	0.022	50	$1.10
07:13:40	BUY	Yes	0.023	50	$1.15
01:17:03	BUY	Yes	0.0229999999	43	$1.00
18:16:12	BUY	Yes	0.0229999999	87	$2.00
15:38:04	SELL	Yes	0.022	80	$1.76
15:36:33	BUY	Yes	0.023	80	$1.84
04:11:22	BUY	No	0.978	135	$131.81
10:56:55	BUY	Yes	0.0229999999	203	$4.67