Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.040. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.023. Range 0.023 to 0.052. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.045	2,094	2,094
0.046	1,700	3,794
0.047	5	3,800
0.054	5	3,805
0.056	1,500	5,305
0.058	1,729	7,034
0.060	1,000	8,034
0.068	2,222	10,256
0.069	500	10,756
0.070	6,949	17,705
0.090	1,111	18,816
0.100	2,756	21,572

Spread0.009Mid0.040

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.036	334	334
0.035	600	934
0.033	811	1,745
0.032	5	1,750
0.030	1,848	3,597
0.026	100	3,697
0.025	293	3,990
0.024	298	4,288
0.020	206	4,493
0.016	127	4,621
0.015	9	4,630
0.014	432	5,061

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.964	334	334
0.965	600	934
0.967	811	1,745
0.968	5	1,750
0.970	1,848	3,597
0.974	100	3,697
0.975	293	3,990
0.976	298	4,288
0.980	206	4,493
0.984	127	4,621
0.985	9	4,630
0.986	432	5,061

Spread0.009Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.955	2,094	2,094
0.954	1,700	3,794
0.953	5	3,800
0.946	5	3,805
0.944	1,500	5,305
0.942	1,729	7,034
0.940	1,000	8,034
0.932	2,222	10,256
0.931	500	10,756
0.930	6,949	17,705
0.910	1,111	18,816
0.900	2,756	21,572

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xD62840CF26Fab216a46C5c9e9920487098e243c1-1761619024616	Yes	58,803.33
0x981205e2d5d6cCA7e01D9ef248515444cDd0644f-1775695734175	Yes	14,285.71
0x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829	Yes	9,999.97
0x12406DcCf3bd2901Ff09B01Aa3717AFF60541468-1771591252042	Yes	9,082.59
cat6767	Yes	6,241.42
0x4ff1…e20b	Yes	6,196.15
0x6bd3…3e23	Yes	6,009.22
DemoKratic	Yes	5,583.91
0xd11c…e38a	Yes	4,812.67
gaugeinvariance	Yes	3,571.74
gatorr	Yes	3,500
UpTight	Yes	3,499.97
0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771	Yes	2,954.55
DomaDevil	Yes	2,180.45
0x44d10ad975c3b6b921badf9882e4c281a45c4ed3	Yes	1,999.94
matejbets	Yes	1,999.91
dyffe	Yes	1,769.27
0x1151a8eA57b5B25105B4F01fBd22bfd07fe7C9aB-1769285568771	Yes	1,572.25
avidadeumamao	Yes	1,562.5
stygimoloch	Yes	1,555.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:12:37	BUY	Yes	0.0523575438	1,719	$90.00
22:08:18	BUY	Yes	0.0435003712	2,092	$91.00
22:02:07	BUY	Yes	0.0415048596	2,385	$99.00
21:17:39	BUY	Yes	0.0394815675	253	$10.00
15:41:16	BUY	No	0.967	100	$96.70
04:39:42	SELL	No	0.96	3	$2.55
04:06:27	SELL	No	0.96	7	$6.32
21:04:57	SELL	No	0.961	82	$78.80
20:46:57	SELL	No	0.961	30	$28.83
13:54:45	BUY	No	0.96694	500	$483.47
11:09:09	SELL	Yes	0.0336771801	759	$25.56
17:18:22	BUY	No	0.96592	400	$386.37
03:29:31	BUY	No	0.96	25	$24.00
02:15:33	BUY	No	0.962	26	$25.31
20:38:37	BUY	Yes	0.049	30	$1.47
20:02:39	BUY	No	0.965	200	$193.00
19:53:03	BUY	Yes	0.037	5	$0.18
17:31:34	SELL	No	0.9403295615	21	$19.94
17:18:13	SELL	No	0.9415464481	9	$8.62
17:16:52	SELL	No	0.942	49	$45.93
17:16:23	SELL	No	0.944	24	$22.20
17:16:23	SELL	No	0.9430690164	122	$115.05
17:16:23	SELL	No	0.944	0	$0.09
17:16:23	SELL	No	0.944	1	$0.98
17:16:23	SELL	No	0.944	1	$0.98