0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771
0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a
- Realised P&L
- $-203.72
- Volume
- $309.9k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.416Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$928.75at 0.522 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$815.20at 0.495Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$396.16at 0.070Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?
- +$368.78at 0.720Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:30 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $11.00 |
| 09-05 17:02 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.205116615 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.4174665951 | $1.5k |
| 09-03 11:53 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | BUY | 0.051607576 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 11:41 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.3499999971 | $60.00 |
| 08-31 17:17 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.3312162542 | $30.00 |
| 08-31 17:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.0274266833 | $16.46 |
| 08-30 21:04 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? | SELL | 0.732738081 | $134.79 |
| 08-30 18:36 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.2667852379 | $12.00 |
| 08-30 18:33 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? | SELL | 0.7831812993 | $144.07 |
| 08-30 06:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.0966666667 | $58.00 |
| 08-30 06:13 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | BUY | 0.0660066007 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 06:08 | Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-29 19:39 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? | SELL | 0.4702526299 | $173.00 |