PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771

0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a

Realised P&L
$-203.72
Volume
$309.9k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$577.50$122.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2000.145$435.00$165.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes0.4170.080$287.45$1.2k
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? · Yes0.2910.515$233.42+$101.42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.026$78.30$161.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? · Yes0.1800.035$47.92$202.08
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? · Yes0.0530.025$5.71$6.29
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0180.000$0.00$60.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$46.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$100.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$11.00
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00$220.00
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$37.50
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? · No0.0530.000$0.00$210.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:30Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.0359999999$11.00
09-05 17:02Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.205116615$30.00
09-04 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?BUY0.1799999995$250.00
09-04 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.4174665951$1.5k
09-03 11:53Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?BUY0.051607576$10.00
09-03 11:41Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.3499999971$60.00
08-31 17:17Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.3312162542$30.00
08-31 17:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?SELL0.0274266833$16.46
08-30 21:04Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?SELL0.732738081$134.79
08-30 18:36Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.2667852379$12.00
08-30 18:33Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?SELL0.7831812993$144.07
08-30 06:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in September?BUY0.0966666667$58.00
08-30 06:13Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?BUY0.0660066007$2.00
08-30 06:08Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?SELL0.001$0.06
08-29 19:39Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?SELL0.4702526299$173.00