0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771
0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a
- Realised P&L
- $-346.30
- Volume
- $318.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $524.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.416Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$928.75at 0.522 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$815.20at 0.495Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$396.16at 0.070Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?
- +$368.78at 0.720Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:37 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 10-04 11:53 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.363917683 | $48.00 |
| 10-03 10:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.3660738578 | $800.00 |
| 10-02 12:46 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.3542168642 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 07:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.3844855838 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 07:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.5919494636 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 07:26 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | SELL | 0.9773061733 | $442.95 |
| 09-28 05:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.5621517023 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 05:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.325803291 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 04:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $525.00 |
| 09-28 04:54 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | SELL | 0.0011520953 | $0.26 |
| 09-08 19:30 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $11.00 |
| 09-05 17:02 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.205116615 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.4174665951 | $1.5k |