PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xe172412ca65dD142Ff035630cc2945ADeC8D248A-1764747516771

0xe172412ca65dd142ff035630cc2945adec8d248a

Realised P&L
$-346.30
Volume
$318.2k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$524.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2000.135$405.00−$195.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.041$119.66−$120.34
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$60.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$46.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? · Yes0.5710.000$0.00−$16.00
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$11.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$250.00
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$220.00
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00−$37.50
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? · No0.0530.000$0.00−$210.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · No0.1390.000$0.00−$200.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$825.00
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:37Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?BUY0.38$19.00
10-04 11:53Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?BUY0.363917683$48.00
10-03 10:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.3660738578$800.00
10-02 12:46Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?BUY0.3542168642$36.00
09-28 07:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.3844855838$8.00
09-28 07:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?BUY0.5919494636$5.00
09-28 07:26Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.9773061733$442.95
09-28 05:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?BUY0.5621517023$11.00
09-28 05:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.325803291$17.00
09-28 04:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$525.00
09-28 04:54Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?SELL0.0011520953$0.26
09-08 19:30Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.0359999999$11.00
09-05 17:02Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.205116615$30.00
09-04 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?BUY0.1799999995$250.00
09-04 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.4174665951$1.5k