DemoKratic
0x0e4034fc0003015b546001472d102d398e68f622
- Realised P&L
- $-8.0k
- Volume
- $451.7k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.392Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.335Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.400US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$981.02at 0.602Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$582.90at 0.671US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:54 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 19:48 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 19:47 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 06-15 19:46 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 19:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999955 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 21:40 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0181197514 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 21:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1998401279 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 21:39 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0179999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 21:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1969182297 | $400.00 |
| 06-09 20:49 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 07:54 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-06 07:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1684513256 | $500.00 |
| 05-26 18:35 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | BUY | 0.4099999925 | $24.00 |
| 05-24 07:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $300.00 |
| 05-12 19:09 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0501500156 | $100.00 |