PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DemoKratic

0x0e4034fc0003015b546001472d102d398e68f622

Realised P&L
$-8.0k
Volume
$451.7k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2940.165$4.7k$3.6k
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.026$147.97$253.02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$31.67$168.33
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$9.44$0.56
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1440.021$8.94$51.06
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.011$6.76$3.24
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.045$1.13$3.88
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%? · Yes0.2550.003$1.03$103.97
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.002$0.95$7.05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2000.034$0.59$2.91
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.2200.001$0.02$9.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00$20.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00$4.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$50.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 22:54Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.002$10.00
06-15 19:48US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
06-15 19:47US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.003$30.00
06-15 19:46US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
06-15 19:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
06-09 21:40Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0181197514$100.00
06-09 21:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1998401279$100.00
06-09 21:39Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0179999998$100.00
06-09 21:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1969182297$400.00
06-09 20:49Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
06-06 07:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999993$200.00
06-06 07:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1684513256$500.00
05-26 18:35Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?BUY0.4099999925$24.00
05-24 07:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1799999996$300.00
05-12 19:09Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0501500156$100.00